Stuff for July 14-15 (9:34 PM CDT Sunday) graze of mag 4 nu Virginis around Champaign, IL.
David Dunham is apparently coming here, to Champaign, driving from Wash. D.C. area (!) and arriving Sunday evening.
In a phone message Saturday afternoon, he suggested that interested parties try to set up along Staley Rd in western Champaign -- a mile W of Duncan, two miles W of Mattis, and suggested Staley and Brittany Trail (about 4 blocks south of Kirby) as a corner to meet around 8PM on Sunday.
Please ignore my Mapblast map from yesterday; instead see Dunham's at
http://www.lunar-occultations.com/iota/0714/exped712.htmor at this site,
http://niri.ncsa.uiuc.edu/slevy/nuvir/
Graze path on Champaign-area map
(click for large (2Kpixel, 860K) JPEG)
Lunar profile from David Herald, author of the occultation software
(click for full-sized version)
Note that most of the lunar-profile measurements from previous grazes lie deeper (further south) than the solid curve.
Herald writes:
OCCULT has a facility to plot the results from ~2800 previous grazes against the profile prediction. I have attached a copy of the profile for Nu Vir. It is plotted for longitude 88.0W, uses the [P,D] reference frame (+/- 0.5deg) to select past grazes, and uses data from 65 observed grazes. From that you can see that the observed profile is significantly inside that predicted by the Watts profile. [Note that the scatter of points above the profile is from bad observations; other small-scale scatter is due to the effect of differing librations for the different graze observations, and errors in site coordinates...]. In my view you need to be at least 1.5miles inside the predicted path to be sure of seeing events - and unless you have many observers I would recommend being almost 2 miles inside.
Original announcement from David Dunham of IOTA
Old stuff: